Phoenix AZ | Scottsdale AZ Real Estate

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Real Estate bubble did not burst it is leaking air

For years , we have all heard the so-called experts refer to the explosion in home buying and resultant rise in  home prices as a real estate bubble.

The rise in home prices from (roughly) 2001 - 2005 was unprecedented. The consumer percentage of homeownerhsip was unprecedented.

About 3 years ago, the Real Estate Bubble Burst! or did it ?  real estate housing bubble burst

I would argue no, the real estate bubble did not burst. In fact, it is leaking air. and herein lies the problem. 

Unlike, stocks and other investments. When a correction occurs, it happens (in most cases) much more dramatically. A stock market crash is on example.

However, real estate happens much more slowly. Many emotions are tied to real estate. Sellers do not just come in and take 30% of the listing price of their home. People reduce prices a (very) little at a time. Unless it is a short sale or foreclosed home. In which case, the home usually sells quickly.

Yesterday, the NAR reported a surprising rise in the sales of existing homes in July, surpassing expectations.  However, this was a result of buyers picking up homes at discounted pricing.

Clearly, consumers do want to buy real estate. The buyers just want better pricing.  If the housing bubble actually burst , we would already by at a bottom.

Instead, we have to wait until all the air leaks out ever to slowly.  - wexzilla

 

Comments

Eloquently put, James.

Sales were up 4% here in July, at 3,800 homes sold, but prices were down something like 17% I think it was.

Posted by Jim Frimmer, San Diego Mission Valley Realtor (Century 21 Award) about 1 year ago

Jim - the good news is that buyers are out there. the bad news is the time it takes for real estate prices to adjust

Posted by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com) about 1 year ago

james - it would be less painful to just 'rip the band-aid off' and deal with the pain and be over with, then watching this slow torture

Posted by Mike DelVero (Liberty One Lending) about 1 year ago

james - Phoenix has been down more than 27% per the report -- that does not include previous years - i am seeing activity and other signs we are at or near a bottom

Posted by Jason Mitchell (Coldwell Banker) about 1 year ago

James, the bubble bursting is so relative to the area of the country. For example in Texas we never had a big appreciation in prices so there was no bubble to burst.

Posted by Gary Woltal - Associate Broker REALTORĀ® Dallas Ft. Worth (Keller Williams Realty) about 1 year ago

Gary - I agree , we have it especially bad in Phoenix and most parts of the west. I understand Texas has not had the same housing problems. I am glad. It is sad for homeowners to lose so much net worth in their homes and people falling out of their profession (mortgage & real estate)

Posted by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com) about 1 year ago

This makes sense....I do think that its a leak, but not a true pop of the bubble.

Posted by Larry Bettag - Cherry Creek Mortgage about 1 year ago

I agree with slow leaking.  I think it could have burst, but they keep putting their fingers on each leak. 

Posted by Phoenix Arizona Real Estate ~ Doreen McPherson (Keller Williams Arizona Realty ~ Scottsdale ~ Tempe) about 1 year ago

a bursting of the proverbial bubble would have saved 3 difficult years. However, real estate just does not work that way

Posted by James Wexler, Scottsdale AZ Luxury Homes (Coldwell Banker) (wexzilla.com) about 1 year ago
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